Truckee Real Estate – Tahoe Donner April ’10 SF Home Sales

May 15, 2010

The following Figure shows Tahoe Donner Single Family Home activity from Jan 2008 through April ‘10.

image001 Truckee Real Estate   Tahoe Donner April 10 SF Home Sales

Tahoe Donner April '10 Home Sales

Figure 1. Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Sales – Note seasonality of sales

Single Family home sales in April ’10 continue to outpace the last 2 year’s sales for April.  This is significant since sales in Tahoe Donner are extremely seasonal. The net-net is that for a true picture of the market activity one must look at seasonality throughout the year. So, based on seasonality one can expect that sales will continue to rise through the fall – assuming we have enough inventory to sell!

Inventory (# of listings) is still very low. The very strong sales late last year reduced the number of available homes for sale and the remaining inventory has really been picked over. Low inventory and strong demand will obviously help to put some upward bias on home pricing.

Inventory is low at 89 homes on the market, up from 73 last month. When you consider we have over 5100 homes in Tahoe Donner this is approximately 1.7 % of the homes in TD.  Based on historical data we could expect the inventory to climb as we get into the summer and fall selling season. Inventory typically rises this time of year because of the Ski Lease properties coming off lease and some owners deciding to list their properties.

Average Days on market (DOM) increased significantly to 128 from 86 days – which looking at theBo above graph seems slightly above average for the last few years.

Single family home sales were 22 homes, up from 13 last month. As mentioned previously, based on seasonality data for the last couple years we can expect to see home sales rising through the summer and fall. Be aware that quarter-to-quarter sales comparisons may not make a lot of sense due to the seasonality of home sales in Tahe Donner.

I would expect to see the home builders start to come out of hibernation due to the low inventory. A consequence of this is that demand for buildable lots should show an increase now as we enter the spring building season.

image003 Truckee Real Estate   Tahoe Donner April 10 SF Home Sales

Tahoe Donner April '10 Home Sales

Figure 2. Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Median and Average Home Price

One important change that started in Jan of ’09 is that Average and Median prices had a significant downturn – see Figure 2.  However, one can see that the average and median prices have stayed fairly constant since Jul of ‘09. This is a good trend and could be construed as a sign that the Tahoe Donner single family home market is healthy.

One factor that affects this price curve is that we have a dearth of high end new home construction activity in Tahoe Donner. This will tend to keep SF home pricing a bit lower until we get some additional high end construction activity.

I hope this data, presented in this form was useful to you. For an instant update, or a discussion about condos/townhomes, please call me and I’ll be pleased to provide you with the most recent data available. MLS data is available and I encourage the buyer or seller to study the data and arrive at their own conclusions before making a buy or sell decision. Contact me if you would like to see the “raw” data. I also have sold price vs. listed price data – this is very helpful if you are considering selling or buying a home – call me for a copy of this data.

Gary LaBelle, Realtor

www.truckeehome411.com

TruckeeRealEstate@Gmail.com

(530) 448-1100

DRE #01495906

Tahoe Donner August Sales Breakdown

September 6, 2009

Here is the detailed data for Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Sales in August. What’s the data say? First, there were 17 sales in August. Secondly, the “average” sold price for 16 sales (I deleted St Bernard which was abnormal) was approximately 6.4% below the asking price – and -5.67% if St Bernard is included. “DOM” is Days on Market.

Something to keep in mind when you are selling or buying a home.

Call me if you want additional clarification for this data.

Address Ask Sold Delta BR BA  Sq Ft $/Sq Ft Age DOM
14803  Northwoods Blvd $369,000 $335,000 -9.2% 3 2 0   30+  113
11755  Chalet Road $775,000 $705,000 -9.0% 3 2.5 2355 $299 5-10 110
15190  Northwoods Blvd $599,000 $565,000 -5.7% 3 3 2085 $271 5-10 37
13117  Muhlebach Way $520,000 $515,000 -1.0% 3 2 1868 $276 15-20  62
13232  Falcon Point Place $978,000 $870,000 -11.0% 4 4 3067 $284 5-10 39
12013  Sitzmark Way $699,000 $650,000 -7.0% 3 2.5 2438 $267 10-15  44
13974  Gyrfalcon Street $594,750 $580,000 -2.5% 3 2 1660 $349 20+   28
11897  Brookstone Drive $498,000 $410,000 -17.7% 3 2 1826 $225 20+   70
14513  Hansel Avenue $669,500 $650,000 -2.9% 4 3.5 2456 $265 10-15  115
12797  Skiview Lp $859,000 $820,000 -4.5% 4 4 3089 $265 5-10 35
11355  Lausanne Way $599,900 $585,000 -2.5% 3 2.5 2044 $286 15-20  64
11618  Baden Road $469,000 $455,000 -3.0% 3 2 1534 $297 15-20  6
12390  Pinnacle Loop $449,000 $410,500 -8.6% 3 2 1301 $316 10-15  181
13611  Hansel Avenue $575,000 $545,000 -5.2% 3 3 2076 $263 20+   22
11496  Zermatt Drive $825,000 $795,000 -3.6% 4 3.5 2975 $267 1-5 80
11980  Saint Bernard Dr $272,250 $326,000 19.7% 2 1 1602 $203 20+ 37
13443  Davos Drive $389,000 $349,000 -10.3% 2 1 1103 $316 30+ 97

Good Sign? Tahoe Donner Condos on the Move!

September 4, 2009

July and August were strong months for Condo Sales in Tahoe Donner.  May and June were slow with 1 sale each month but July and August had 4 sales each – plus there were 3 pending and 4 contingent at the end of August so September looks very strong.

Total 2009 Sales have been 19 so roughly 1/2 of the sales have been in the last few months.

I showed Condos and Townhomes to a client yesterday and it was amazing to see the difference in the last couple months. Those of you that have been on the sidelines for a Condo or Townhouse had better get out and start looking!

We expect sales to continue to be strong becoaue of the upcoming ski season. Call me if you want to see what’s available and go look at properties.

Gary LaBelle, 530-448-1100, TruckeeRealestate@gmail.com

Tahoe Donner August Sales In

August 30, 2009

I just looked at the MLS figures – there were 17 single family homes sold in August.

Condo’s and Townhomes are also picking up. There were 4 sales in August.

I’ll be publishing a detailed report in a couple days.

Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Sales Up in July! – Revised

August 5, 2009

Gary LaBelle, CA Realtor®, (530) 448-1100, Email Gary

Subject: Tahoe Donner Sales History for Single Family Homes

Date: August 5, 2009

Tahoe Donner is a relatively large community in Truckee with approximately 5000 completed homes. So, statistically it is a good area to choose from to ascertain Truckee market activity and pricing trends.

This data covers 2007 and 2008 and 2009 through July ‘09. The data contained herein is obtained from the Tahoe Sierra MLS. This data is believed to be accurate but must be verified prior to submitting a purchase offer.  Caution should be used when interpreting the data as there are many market factors influencing pricing that may or may not be relevant or obvious to the reader.

Call me if you have any questions about the data and graphs!

Please contact me if you would like more information about market activity for certain price ranges, Tahoe Donner Condominiums, or similar data for other Truckee/Tahoe housing communities

Good luck in selling or buying your home in Tahoe Donner or the other Tahoe/Truckee communities – please let me know if I can provide excellent service to you!

Gary LaBelle, Realtor

(530) 448-1100, TruckeeRealEstate@gmail.com

www.truckeehome411.com

Referrals greatly appreciated

 

The following Figure shows Tahoe Donner Single Family Home activity from Jan 2005 through July 2009.image005 Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Sales Up in July!   Revised

Figure 1. Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Sales

Results for July, 2009

July was another good month for Tahoe Donner. Inventory is low and sales continue to go up from previous months.

Inventory is well behaved at 173 homes on the market. When you consider we have over 5000 homes in Tahoe Donner this is approximately 3% of the homes in TD. This is positive since inventory is remaining low and not putting extreme competitive pressure on sales prices.

Days on market (DOM) stayed about the same – 103 days from 102 days in June and low historically. This is a very positive indicator and shows homes are moving well.

Single family home sales were 21 homes, up from 17 last month. The sales have increased monthly from Jan of ’09.

image007 Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Sales Up in July!   Revised

Figure 2. Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Median and Average Home Price

One important change that started in Jan of ’09 is that Average and Median prices had a significant downturn – see Figure 2.  However, one can see that the average and median prices continued to climb since Jan ’09 with a bit of a downturn in July. This is generally a good trend and could be construed as a sign that the Tahoe Donner single family home market is healthy.

image009 Tahoe Donner Single Family Home Sales Up in July!   Revised

Figure 3. 2007, 2008 and 2009 Year to Date Sales Data

Figure 3 shows how the increase in DOM for July looks from a historical perspective. The 103 days looks very good from a historical perspective.

So, what’s the future hold?  Hard to say but it is clear that building activity for spec homes is significantly down from the previous year.  Our local market in Tahoe Donner is served by a number of smaller contractors that have reacted quickly to the market conditions by not building more new homes and inflating inventory.

Other factors that have affected the local market are lending agency repossessions and short sales. Repossessed properties can be “distressed” and therefore are quite often sold at a discount to the “accepted” fair market price. In some cases, an alternative to repossession is a short sale where the lending agency will allow the homeowner to sell the property at a price below that of the owners loan balance and “forgive” the difference.  Such activity, if more continuing in the future, could adversely affect the average price of homes sold.

I hope this data, presented in this form was useful to you. For an instant update, or a discussion about condos/townhomes, please call me and I’ll be pleased to provide you with the most recent data available.

MLS data is available and I encourage the buyer or seller to study the data and arrive at their own conclusions before making a buy or sell decision. Contact me if you would like to see the “raw” data.

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